Holstein Kiel vs VfB Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
CEL
1 - 0
HOL
24%
21%
55%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
HOL
2 - 1
SCS
77%
15%
9%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
LUB
1 - 1
HOL
44%
27%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
HOL
2 - 2
ISC
38%
27%
36%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
FCP
2 - 1
HOL
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
VFB
1 - 1
BAR
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
COH
0 - 0
VFB
55%
23%
23%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
VFB
1 - 0
ITZ
63%
20%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
HEI
2 - 1
VFB
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
STP
5 - 1
VFB
81%
13%
7%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |