Holstein Kiel vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
51.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
STP
0 - 1
HOL
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
HOL
1 - 1
KOL
30%
24%
46%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ERZ
2 - 1
HOL
21%
25%
53%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
HOL
4 - 2
DAR
44%
25%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
FCU
2 - 0
HOL
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
SCF
3 - 1
MON
21%
23%
57%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
SCF
48%
23%
28%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SCF
0 - 0
LEV
22%
23%
55%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
AUG
4 - 1
SCF
33%
25%
43%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
SCF
1 - 0
S04
22%
23%
55%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |