3. Liga Round 24

Holstein Kiel vs Preußen Münster analysis

Holstein Kiel Preußen Münster
64 ELO 66
5.4% Tilt -0.6%
200º General ELO ranking 695º
23º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
39.3%
Holstein Kiel
26.8%
Draw
33.9%
Preußen Münster

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
Holstein Kiel
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.9%
Win probability
Preußen Münster
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Holstein Kiel
+1%
+10%
Preußen Münster

ELO progression

Holstein Kiel
Preußen Münster
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2014
HAL
Hallescher FC
1 - 0
Holstein Kiel
HOL
33%
28%
39%
63 60 3 0
25 Jan. 2014
HOL
Holstein Kiel
0 - 0
Stuttgarter Kickers
SVS
53%
24%
23%
63 61 2 0
21 Dec. 2013
HOL
Holstein Kiel
2 - 2
Hansa Rostock
ROS
48%
25%
27%
63 62 1 0
14 Dec. 2013
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
1 - 2
Holstein Kiel
HOL
47%
25%
28%
62 60 2 +1
07 Dec. 2013
HOL
Holstein Kiel
0 - 2
Darmstadt 98
DAR
52%
25%
23%
63 62 1 -1

Matches

Preußen Münster
Preußen Münster
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2014
PRE
Preußen Münster
0 - 1
Wehen Wiesbaden
WEH
55%
24%
21%
68 62 6 0
25 Jan. 2014
ERF
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
0 - 0
Preußen Münster
PRE
42%
27%
32%
68 64 4 0
21 Dec. 2013
WAC
SV Wacker Burghausen
2 - 4
Preußen Münster
PRE
32%
27%
41%
67 59 8 +1
14 Dec. 2013
PRE
Preußen Münster
0 - 0
RB Leipzig
RBL
36%
26%
38%
67 70 3 0
07 Dec. 2013
PRE
Preußen Münster
2 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
44%
27%
29%
66 68 2 +1