Regionalliga Play-Offs Ascenso Final
Global 4-1
Holstein Kiel vs Hessen Kassel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
HOL
3 - 0
VHG
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
HOL
2 - 1
HAV
64%
21%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
HAM
0 - 0
HOL
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MEP
0 - 3
HOL
17%
23%
60%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 1
VFB
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
IDA
1 - 3
HES
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
HES
3 - 2
WWO
60%
22%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
FSV
2 - 2
HES
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
HES
1 - 0
FRA
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
HOM
1 - 1
HES
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |