Holstein Kiel vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
OSN
4 - 1
HOL
28%
24%
49%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2020 |
HOL
2 - 0
SGD
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
HOL
1 - 2
WEH
54%
23%
24%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2020 |
HSV
3 - 3
HOL
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2020 |
HOL
1 - 2
ARB
32%
25%
44%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
FCN
0 - 6
STU
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2020 |
WEH
0 - 6
FCN
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
FCN
0 - 1
SGF
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2020 |
ARB
1 - 1
FCN
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2020 |
FCN
0 - 0
BOC
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |