Regionalliga North Round 11

Holstein Kiel II vs Hamburger SV II analysis

Holstein Kiel II  Hamburger SV II
40 ELO 41
11% Tilt 7.6%
4150º General ELO ranking 2534º
181º Country ELO ranking 106º
ELO win probability
52.5%
Holstein Kiel II
22.6%
Draw
24.9%
Hamburger SV II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
Holstein Kiel II
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.9%
Win probability
 Hamburger SV II
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Holstein Kiel II
-14%
-12%
 Hamburger SV II

ELO progression

Holstein Kiel II
 Hamburger SV II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Holstein Kiel II
Holstein Kiel II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2020
FCP
Phönix Lübeck
2 - 1
Holstein Kiel II
HOL
47%
23%
30%
42 41 1 0
18 Oct. 2020
HOL
Holstein Kiel II
3 - 1
Drochtersen / Assel
DRO
31%
26%
43%
39 49 10 +3
10 Oct. 2020
WEI
Weiche Flensburg
3 - 1
Holstein Kiel II
HOL
71%
18%
11%
40 54 14 -1
07 Oct. 2020
HOL
Holstein Kiel II
2 - 1
Heider SV
HEI
78%
13%
9%
40 26 14 0
04 Oct. 2020
EIN
Eintracht Norderstedt
3 - 0
Holstein Kiel II
HOL
60%
21%
19%
41 47 6 -1

Matches

Hamburger SV II
 Hamburger SV II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2020
STP
St. Pauli II
1 - 1
 Hamburger SV II
HAM
60%
21%
19%
39 46 7 0
13 Oct. 2020
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
1 - 3
Dassendorf
DAS
23%
22%
55%
40 49 9 -1
10 Oct. 2020
FCP
Phönix Lübeck
1 - 0
 Hamburger SV II
HAM
52%
22%
26%
41 41 0 -1
06 Oct. 2020
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
0 - 2
Drochtersen / Assel
DRO
38%
26%
36%
42 48 6 -1
02 Oct. 2020
WEI
Weiche Flensburg
1 - 2
 Hamburger SV II
HAM
72%
17%
10%
40 54 14 +2