Regionalliga North Round 16

Holstein Kiel II vs Phönix Lübeck analysis

Holstein Kiel II Phönix Lübeck
45 ELO 46
10.6% Tilt 5.6%
4145º General ELO ranking 1963º
180º Country ELO ranking 77º
ELO win probability
43%
Holstein Kiel II
23.6%
Draw
33.4%
Phönix Lübeck

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
Holstein Kiel II
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.4%
Win probability
Phönix Lübeck
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Holstein Kiel II
-15%
+11%
Phönix Lübeck

Points and table prediction

Holstein Kiel II
Their league position
Phönix Lübeck
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
15º
11º
47
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
VfB Lübeck
76
76
100%
 Hamburger SV II
75
75
100%
Hannover 96 II
67
67
100%
Teutonia Ottensen
61
61
100%
Weiche Flensburg
56
56
100%
Havelse
52
55
100%
Jeddeloh
10º
48
51
100%
St. Pauli II
51
51
100%
Drochtersen / Assel
50
50
100%
Eintracht Norderstedt
48
48
10º
100%
Holstein Kiel II
11º
47
47
11º
0%
Phönix Lübeck
12º
47
47
12º
0%
BW Lohne
13º
47
47
13º
100%
Werder Bremen II
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Bremer SV
15º
43
43
15º
100%
BSV Rehden
16º
41
41
16º
100%
VfV Hildesheim
17º
40
40
17º
100%
Atlas Delmenhorst
18º
32
32
18º
100%
BSV Kickers Emden
19º
15
15
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Holstein Kiel II
Phönix Lübeck
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Holstein Kiel II
Phönix Lübeck
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Holstein Kiel II
Holstein Kiel II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2022
DRO
Drochtersen / Assel
3 - 3
Holstein Kiel II
HOL
48%
25%
27%
45 48 3 0
16 Oct. 2022
BOR
VfV Hildesheim
2 - 2
Holstein Kiel II
HOL
31%
25%
44%
44 39 5 +1
09 Oct. 2022
HOL
Holstein Kiel II
1 - 2
Hannover 96 II
HAN
51%
23%
26%
45 44 1 -1
02 Oct. 2022
BRE
Bremer SV
3 - 2
Holstein Kiel II
HOL
50%
23%
28%
46 43 3 -1
25 Sep. 2022
HOL
Holstein Kiel II
7 - 0
BSV Kickers Emden
BSV
74%
16%
10%
45 34 11 +1

Matches

Phönix Lübeck
Phönix Lübeck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2022
FCP
Phönix Lübeck
3 - 2
VfV Hildesheim
BOR
62%
21%
17%
46 40 6 0
15 Oct. 2022
HAN
Hannover 96 II
2 - 2
Phönix Lübeck
FCP
43%
24%
32%
46 45 1 0
09 Oct. 2022
FCP
Phönix Lübeck
2 - 2
Bremer SV
BRE
41%
23%
36%
45 44 1 +1
01 Oct. 2022
BSV
BSV Kickers Emden
0 - 3
Phönix Lübeck
FCP
19%
22%
59%
45 33 12 0
25 Sep. 2022
FCP
Phönix Lübeck
3 - 1
 Hamburger SV II
HAM
40%
25%
35%
43 45 2 +2