Norwegian Fourth Division Round 8

Holmen vs Bærum II analysis

Holmen Bærum II
35 ELO 20
-1% Tilt 3.5%
24236º General ELO ranking 42224º
210º Country ELO ranking 394º
ELO win probability
76%
Holmen
14.8%
Draw
9.2%
Bærum II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
Holmen
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
9.2%
Win probability
Bærum II
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Holmen
Bærum II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Holmen
Holmen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2013
GJO
Gjøvik-Lyn
1 - 4
Holmen
HOL
70%
18%
12%
33 46 13 0
11 May. 2013
HOL
Holmen
3 - 0
Nordre Land
NLI
78%
14%
8%
33 18 15 0
09 May. 2013
DBK
Drammens BK
2 - 4
Holmen
HOL
17%
21%
63%
32 17 15 +1
06 May. 2013
HOL
Holmen
3 - 2
Asker II
ASK
69%
18%
14%
32 22 10 0
29 Apr. 2013
SSK
Stoppen
0 - 2
Holmen
HOL
10%
18%
72%
31 10 21 +1

Matches

Bærum II
Bærum II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2013
BAE
Bærum II
0 - 5
Ullern
ULL
25%
22%
53%
21 32 11 0
14 May. 2013
GJO
Gjøvik-Lyn
5 - 1
Bærum II
BAE
82%
12%
6%
21 46 25 0
09 May. 2013
BAE
Bærum II
3 - 4
Modum
MOD
30%
23%
46%
22 30 8 -1
06 May. 2013
NLI
Nordre Land
0 - 2
Bærum II
BAE
43%
23%
34%
21 20 1 +1
29 Apr. 2013
BAE
Bærum II
5 - 2
Mjøndalen IF II
MJO
50%
22%
28%
21 20 1 0