Holbeach United vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holbeach United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
STO
0 - 1
HOL
59%
20%
21%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
HOL
2 - 2
STO
29%
22%
50%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
WIS
0 - 1
HOL
21%
21%
58%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
ELY
0 - 4
HOL
22%
22%
56%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HOL
1 - 1
ELY
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
COR
0 - 3
WOR
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
ALF
2 - 1
WOR
71%
17%
11%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
WOR
2 - 2
CUR
30%
26%
45%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
STO
0 - 0
WOR
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 4
HED
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |