Holbæk vs Odder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
6º
1º
14
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 21 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 15 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
61% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holbæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
BOL
4 - 1
HOL
12%
15%
73%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FA2
0 - 2
HOL
52%
22%
26%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 0
KAR
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
B19
1 - 3
HOL
15%
19%
66%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
HOL
3 - 0
GVI
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Odder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIB
1 - 3
ODD
26%
20%
54%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
ODD
3 - 3
IFL
41%
23%
36%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ODD
2 - 4
SIK
19%
21%
59%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SKI
2 - 1
ODD
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ODD
1 - 0
DJU
89%
8%
3%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |