Holbæk vs Karlslunde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
6º
2º
36
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holbæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
B19
1 - 3
HOL
15%
19%
66%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
HOL
3 - 0
GVI
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TAR
2 - 3
HOL
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
HOL
6 - 0
HER
84%
10%
5%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
GSL
0 - 2
HOL
20%
19%
62%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Karlslunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
KAR
3 - 2
KFU
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
KAR
1 - 1
B19
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GVI
1 - 2
KAR
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KAR
3 - 1
TAR
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HER
2 - 2
KAR
8%
13%
80%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | -1 |