Hoi King vs Kwai Tsing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
11º
7º
8
8º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 39 |
3º
|
79.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
79.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
79.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
90.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoi King
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
WON
0 - 4
HOI
21%
21%
58%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
HOI
1 - 2
SHA
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
HOI
1 - 1
EAD
52%
23%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
KWA
2 - 4
HOI
21%
21%
57%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 1
HOI
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Kwai Tsing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
WIN
6 - 0
KWA
87%
9%
4%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
KWA
1 - 4
ISK
7%
15%
78%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CWD
8 - 0
KWA
86%
10%
4%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
KWA
2 - 4
HOI
21%
21%
57%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
KWA
1 - 7
SCA
15%
18%
67%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -2 |