AD Hogar Alcarreño vs CD Illescas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
49.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
HAL
2 - 0
TAR
25%
24%
51%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CDE
2 - 4
HAL
66%
20%
15%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
HAL
1 - 4
HOR
50%
23%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CTI
4 - 1
HAL
35%
26%
40%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
HAL
2 - 3
SON
47%
25%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ILL
0 - 1
CDE
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
HOR
0 - 1
ILL
24%
22%
55%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ILL
2 - 0
CTI
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SON
4 - 2
ILL
27%
24%
50%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ILL
2 - 0
MOC
80%
12%
8%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |