Hoek vs Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
RVV
1 - 3
HOE
32%
24%
45%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
HOE
1 - 0
AFC
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
NOO
1 - 0
HOE
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
HOE
3 - 0
RIJ
47%
23%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
NOO
2 - 3
HOE
79%
14%
8%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ZWA
2 - 0
TER
28%
23%
50%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
JOD
2 - 2
ZWA
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
ZWA
0 - 0
ACH
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ZWA
2 - 3
NOO
66%
19%
16%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
AFC
3 - 4
ZWA
48%
21%
32%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |