Hoek vs Swift analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
HER
3 - 1
HOE
88%
10%
2%
|
37 | 72 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
AFC
2 - 2
HOE
32%
21%
46%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
HOE
2 - 0
RIJ
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
LIS
2 - 2
HOE
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ZWA
1 - 1
HOE
35%
24%
42%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
FEY
4 - 1
SWI
89%
9%
2%
|
40 | 81 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
RVV
2 - 0
SWI
15%
19%
65%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SWI
3 - 2
ACH
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
NOO
4 - 0
SWI
60%
20%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SWI
3 - 1
AFC
70%
18%
13%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |