1st Division Round 10

Hobro vs HB Køge analysis

Hobro HB Køge
67 ELO 67
5.5% Tilt 6%
1908º General ELO ranking 2519º
24º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
51.5%
Hobro
25.6%
Draw
22.9%
HB Køge

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
Hobro
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.9%
Win probability
HB Køge
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hobro
-4%
-10%
HB Køge

ELO progression

Hobro
HB Køge
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hobro
Hobro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2016
BFR
Fremad Amager
4 - 1
Hobro
HOB
33%
26%
41%
68 60 8 0
11 Sep. 2016
HOB
Hobro
1 - 0
Nykøbing FC
LFA
58%
22%
19%
68 62 6 0
07 Sep. 2016
VEN
Vendsyssel
2 - 0
Hobro
HOB
28%
25%
47%
70 64 6 -2
04 Sep. 2016
FRE
Fredericia
0 - 0
Hobro
HOB
32%
26%
42%
70 63 7 0
29 Aug. 2016
HOB
Hobro
4 - 0
Vendsyssel
VEN
57%
24%
20%
69 65 4 +1

Matches

HB Køge
HB Køge
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2016
HBK
HB Køge
1 - 0
Akademisk Boldklub
AKA
55%
25%
20%
66 58 8 0
11 Sep. 2016
VEJ
Vejle BK
0 - 2
HB Køge
HBK
46%
27%
27%
66 65 1 0
07 Sep. 2016
DOL
Døllefjelde-Musse
0 - 3
HB Køge
HBK
13%
21%
66%
66 19 47 0
01 Sep. 2016
HBK
HB Køge
2 - 2
Næstved
NAE
44%
27%
30%
66 63 3 0
29 Aug. 2016
ROS
Roskilde
1 - 1
HB Køge
HBK
41%
27%
32%
66 61 5 0