Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Ho Chí Minh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
2º
1º
14
4º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
23 | 10 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 9 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 8 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 7 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 7 |
5º
|
42.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoang Anh Gia Lai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
HOA
1 - 0
DAN
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
BIN
1 - 2
HOA
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
HOA
1 - 0
SAN
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
HOA
1 - 2
PHI
54%
22%
24%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
HOA
1 - 0
BIN
57%
22%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ho Chí Minh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 0
HCM
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
HCM
1 - 0
DAN
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SON
2 - 0
HCM
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
HCM
0 - 1
VFC
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
HOA
0 - 0
HCM
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |