HNK Zadar vs Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
6º
1º
27
1º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
54.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
42% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 28 |
15º
|
95% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 95% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
OMI
0 - 2
HNK
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ZAG
1 - 2
HNK
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HNK
5 - 0
NKH
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
GOS
0 - 3
HNK
19%
24%
58%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HNK
6 - 0
MAK
77%
15%
9%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
SPL
1 - 1
NKH
25%
23%
52%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 0
SPL
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SPL
2 - 0
MAK
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
PRB
1 - 2
SPL
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SPL
2 - 1
JUN
13%
22%
65%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | +3 |