Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 3-0
HNK Sibenik vs Sliema Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
13.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2010 |
MEI
4 - 0
HNS
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
HNS
2 - 1
DZG
24%
26%
50%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
HNS
0 - 2
HKS
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
KAR
0 - 2
HNS
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
HNS
1 - 1
IST
61%
25%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sliema Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2010 |
QOR
3 - 0
SLI
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
SLI
3 - 0
HIB
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 0
SLI
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
SLI
2 - 0
TAR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
SLI
0 - 3
BIR
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |