1. HNL round 5

HNK Sibenik vs NK Varazdin analysis

HNK Sibenik NK Varazdin
70 ELO 80
-1.7% Tilt -9.8%
1593º General ELO ranking 742º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
29.5%
HNK Sibenik
24.8%
Draw
45.6%
NK Varazdin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
HNK Sibenik
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.6%
Win probability
NK Varazdin
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
HNK Sibenik
-20%
+7%
NK Varazdin

ELO progression

HNK Sibenik
NK Varazdin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

HNK Sibenik
HNK Sibenik
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2002
ZAG
NK Zagreb
2 - 1
HNK Sibenik
HNS
73%
17%
10%
71 81 10 0
10 Aug. 2002
HNS
HNK Sibenik
0 - 1
HNK Hajduk Split
HKS
26%
25%
49%
71 83 12 0
03 Aug. 2002
ZAD
Zadar
0 - 0
HNK Sibenik
HNS
41%
27%
33%
72 66 6 -1
27 Jul. 2002
HNS
HNK Sibenik
3 - 1
Pomorac
POM
46%
25%
29%
73 73 0 -1
19 May. 2002
HNS
HNK Sibenik
4 - 3
Vukovar '91
VUK
55%
23%
22%
73 66 7 0

Matches

NK Varazdin
NK Varazdin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2002
NKV
NK Varazdin
2 - 1
HNK Rijeka
RIJ
60%
22%
18%
79 75 4 0
15 Aug. 2002
NKV
NK Varazdin
5 - 0
Dundalk
DUN
73%
17%
10%
79 63 16 0
10 Aug. 2002
NKV
NK Varazdin
2 - 0
NK Osijek
OSI
53%
23%
24%
78 76 2 +1
03 Aug. 2002
ZAG
NK Zagreb
1 - 0
NK Varazdin
NKV
55%
22%
23%
79 82 3 -1
28 Jul. 2002
NKV
NK Varazdin
0 - 1
HNK Hajduk Split
HKS
42%
25%
33%
80 84 4 -1