HNK Sibenik vs NK Istra 1961 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
10º
10º
46
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
SLA
0 - 1
HNS
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
HNS
0 - 4
LOK
28%
27%
46%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HNG
0 - 3
HNS
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HNS
1 - 2
RIJ
21%
25%
54%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
HKS
2 - 1
HNS
78%
16%
7%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
IST
1 - 0
OSI
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
DZG
1 - 0
IST
73%
17%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
IST
2 - 1
NKV
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
IST
3 - 0
HKS
16%
21%
63%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
IST
0 - 0
SLA
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |