HNK Sibenik vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
63.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
10º
10º
81
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NKV
2 - 2
HNS
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
HNS
0 - 0
IST
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SLA
0 - 0
HNS
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
HNS
2 - 1
LOK
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 0
HNS
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
DZG
4 - 1
BOG
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
DZG
5 - 2
OSI
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
BOG
1 - 0
DZG
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DZG
4 - 1
HKS
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
DZG
4 - 2
LUD
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |