HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
56.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
10º
9º
71
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
HNG
1 - 0
RIJ
30%
25%
45%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
HNG
1 - 0
RUD
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
HNS
0 - 4
HNG
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
HNG
2 - 0
OSI
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HNG
1 - 1
DZG
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
HKS
2 - 0
NKV
75%
17%
9%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RIJ
2 - 0
HKS
35%
24%
41%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
SLA
0 - 1
HKS
18%
22%
60%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
HKS
2 - 2
IST
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HNS
2 - 3
HKS
15%
21%
65%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |