HMSH vs Xerxes DZB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
62.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HMSH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ZWE
5 - 0
HMS
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
GOE
5 - 2
HMS
90%
7%
3%
|
13 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
HMS
0 - 6
NIE
12%
16%
73%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
HMS
1 - 16
POO
20%
20%
60%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
HMS
0 - 3
GDA
29%
21%
50%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Xerxes DZB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
XER
0 - 2
GDA
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
POO
3 - 0
XER
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
XER
0 - 3
ZWE
59%
19%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
XER
0 - 4
GOE
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
IFC
8 - 0
XER
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -3 |