HMSH vs Poortugaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
22.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HMSH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SCN
1 - 2
HMS
71%
17%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
HMS
2 - 4
ZWE
64%
19%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NIE
3 - 2
HMS
12%
18%
70%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
HMS
3 - 3
TOG
56%
21%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
HMS
2 - 2
SJC
19%
19%
63%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Poortugaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
POO
0 - 4
MAG
28%
23%
49%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
NIE
4 - 0
POO
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
POO
0 - 1
VEL
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
UVS
6 - 0
POO
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
POO
1 - 1
SCN
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |