HJK Helsinki vs FC Honka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
3º
3º
41
3º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
49 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 10 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
53 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SEI
2 - 3
HJK
25%
27%
49%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
HJK
2 - 3
PAO
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HJK
2 - 0
INT
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
HJK
2 - 2
KUO
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
HJK
2 - 0
SFC
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
HON
0 - 3
VAA
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SEI
1 - 2
HON
36%
27%
36%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
HON
0 - 2
CAR
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
KOO
1 - 2
HON
21%
26%
53%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
HON
2 - 0
ILV
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |