UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 1-3
HJK Helsinki vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
FFJ
1 - 0
HJK
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
HJK
10 - 0
BAN
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
HJK
3 - 0
VAA
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 3
HJK
37%
25%
39%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
HJK
4 - 2
INT
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
DZG
2 - 0
INT
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
FKN
0 - 0
DZG
23%
25%
52%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
DZG
3 - 0
FKN
73%
17%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
NKV
1 - 3
DZG
17%
21%
62%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
DZG
1 - 1
SPL
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |