UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 3-4
HJK Helsinki vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
HJK
2 - 1
KOO
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
HJK
1 - 0
VEN
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
VEN
1 - 3
HJK
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
ROP
2 - 1
HJK
30%
28%
43%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2015 |
HJK
1 - 1
HIF
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
OKZ
1 - 2
AST
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
AST
3 - 1
MAR
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
AST
2 - 1
ZHE
76%
17%
8%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
AST
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
TOB
1 - 1
AST
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |