Hitchin Town vs Coalville Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
HIT
0 - 4
PET
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
HIT
3 - 0
MIC
32%
24%
44%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
HIT
3 - 1
HER
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
HIT
0 - 2
ROY
23%
24%
54%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BRO
0 - 2
HIT
68%
16%
15%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Coalville Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
COA
3 - 3
MAT
70%
17%
12%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
COA
4 - 1
RUS
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
COA
6 - 1
BAN
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
RUS
0 - 2
COA
34%
26%
41%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
HED
0 - 3
COA
22%
22%
56%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |