Hitchin Town vs Biggleswade United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 1
HIT
38%
25%
36%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HIT
3 - 1
BAN
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
STR
3 - 2
HIT
20%
24%
57%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
HIT
1 - 1
CHE
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
KET
0 - 0
HIT
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Biggleswade United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
AYL
0 - 1
BIG
43%
22%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 1
BIG
50%
22%
29%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
GRA
5 - 0
BIG
77%
16%
7%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BIG
5 - 3
CHA
28%
24%
48%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BIG
2 - 1
DES
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |