Hitchin Town vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
HAL
3 - 2
HIT
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
COR
2 - 0
HIT
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
HIT
3 - 2
MAN
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
HIT
2 - 2
MER
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
TIV
3 - 1
HIT
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MER
0 - 2
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
SWI
3 - 2
BAS
55%
24%
20%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 1
BRA
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 0
CAM
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
STO
1 - 1
BAS
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |