Hitchin Town vs Arlesey Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
HIT
47%
24%
30%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
HIT
2 - 1
RED
64%
20%
15%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
HIT
2 - 2
AFT
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CIR
2 - 2
HIT
20%
23%
58%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
HIT
41%
26%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ARL
2 - 4
CHE
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
WEY
0 - 2
ARL
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ARL
1 - 1
STO
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 0
ARL
40%
25%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ARL
1 - 0
EVE
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |