Histon vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
57.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
HED
2 - 1
HIS
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
HIS
0 - 1
TOW
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
VAU
4 - 0
HIS
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
HIS
1 - 2
BOS
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
STO
1 - 0
HIS
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 2
GUI
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 1
WOR
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
AFC
4 - 2
GUI
34%
26%
41%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
GUI
23%
24%
54%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
SOL
0 - 3
GUI
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |