Hinojos vs C.D. Zarza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinojos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
REC
3 - 2
HIN
65%
18%
17%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
HIN
1 - 2
ALJ
57%
20%
23%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
HIN
0 - 2
EST
70%
16%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MAZ
3 - 3
HIN
19%
19%
62%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HIN
3 - 1
DCA
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
C.D. Zarza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CDZ
0 - 1
EST
43%
22%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MAZ
2 - 1
CDZ
34%
24%
43%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CDZ
1 - 1
DCA
56%
20%
24%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ALO
2 - 1
CDZ
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
COR
4 - 2
CDZ
49%
23%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |