Hinckley United vs Workington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BIS
1 - 1
HIN
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
HIN
0 - 6
VAU
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
OXF
6 - 2
HIN
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
HIN
1 - 3
BRA
14%
19%
67%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
HIN
0 - 6
CHE
14%
20%
67%
|
23 | 59 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 1
CHE
16%
22%
62%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
WOR
2 - 1
ALT
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 2
OXF
39%
26%
34%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
TOW
3 - 1
WOR
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
COL
1 - 4
WOR
35%
25%
41%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +2 |