Hillingdon Borough vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
73.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hillingdon Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
HIL
0 - 1
AVE
9%
18%
72%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 0
HIL
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
HIL
0 - 2
THA
24%
24%
52%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
POT
3 - 3
HIL
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
HIL
1 - 3
EAS
10%
19%
72%
|
12 | 45 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
TIL
2 - 0
WAL
44%
26%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
TIL
1 - 0
BRE
27%
26%
47%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
WIN
2 - 0
TIL
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
TIL
2 - 2
NOR
31%
27%
42%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
TIL
1 - 1
WAL
66%
20%
13%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |