Hillingdon Borough vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hillingdon Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
HIL
4 - 1
BUR
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
HIL
1 - 0
HAN
77%
15%
9%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
AND
2 - 3
HIL
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2007 |
HIL
2 - 2
SWI
24%
24%
53%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
HIL
5 - 2
BEA
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
SWI
0 - 0
BAS
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 0
AFH
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
ABI
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
BAS
4 - 1
CHE
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 1
BUR
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |