Hierden vs Go Ahead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
70.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hierden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
SVI
2 - 1
HIE
85%
11%
5%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
HIE
0 - 2
DOS
19%
19%
63%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
DEM
2 - 1
HIE
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
NUN
3 - 1
HIE
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
DTS
2 - 0
HIE
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GOA
2 - 0
DTS
25%
23%
53%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
DZC
2 - 0
GOA
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SVZ
1 - 2
GOA
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
GOA
3 - 4
SVI
51%
21%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
GOA
1 - 4
APE
42%
23%
36%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |