Hierden vs Go Ahead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
66.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hierden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
DOS
5 - 1
HIE
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SPA
6 - 1
HIE
58%
21%
21%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
HIE
3 - 1
FCZ
19%
20%
62%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
WVF
4 - 2
HIE
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
HIE
0 - 3
AZS
15%
20%
65%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
MEP
0 - 4
GOA
16%
21%
64%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
FCZ
2 - 1
GOA
18%
23%
60%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GOA
4 - 1
WVF
80%
13%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AZS
0 - 0
GOA
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GOA
1 - 2
DOS
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |