SPL Relegation Play-offs Round 2

Hibernian FC vs St. Mirren analysis

Hibernian FC St. Mirren
70 ELO 72
4.4% Tilt 7.4%
489º General ELO ranking 591º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
47.5%
Hibernian FC
26.5%
Draw
25.9%
St. Mirren

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
Hibernian FC
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.9%
Win probability
St. Mirren
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hibernian FC
+8%
+5%
St. Mirren

ELO progression

Hibernian FC
St. Mirren
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hibernian FC
Hibernian FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2013
HIB
Hibernian FC
0 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
49%
26%
25%
70 70 0 0
13 Apr. 2013
HIB
Hibernian FC
4 - 3
Falkirk
FAL
55%
23%
22%
69 65 4 +1
06 Apr. 2013
CEL
Celtic
3 - 0
Hibernian FC
HIB
70%
18%
12%
70 83 13 -1
30 Mar. 2013
HIB
Hibernian FC
1 - 2
Inverness CT
ICT
37%
26%
36%
70 74 4 0
15 Mar. 2013
MHE
Motherwell
4 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
56%
23%
21%
71 74 3 -1

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2013
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 2
Dundee
DUN
67%
21%
12%
73 62 11 0
06 Apr. 2013
MHE
Motherwell
2 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
60%
23%
17%
72 75 3 +1
03 Apr. 2013
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
58%
23%
19%
72 74 2 0
31 Mar. 2013
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 1
Celtic
CEL
24%
25%
50%
72 83 11 0
17 Mar. 2013
STM
St. Mirren
3 - 2
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
42%
26%
32%
71 74 3 +1