Hibernian FC vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
HIB
0 - 4
CEL
19%
23%
59%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
HIB
2 - 3
STM
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2014 |
ABE
1 - 0
HIB
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 2
HIB
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2014 |
HIB
2 - 1
HOM
58%
25%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CWB
1 - 0
RAI
38%
25%
36%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
QOS
1 - 0
RAI
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 0
RAI
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2014 |
RAI
0 - 2
DUN
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
LIV
3 - 0
RAI
41%
26%
34%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -2 |