SPL Round 5

Hibernian FC vs Ayr United analysis

Hibernian FC Ayr United
76 ELO 67
14.1% Tilt 18%
468º General ELO ranking 844º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
67%
Hibernian FC
16.7%
Draw
16.3%
Ayr United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
Hibernian FC
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
16.3%
Win probability
Ayr United
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hibernian FC
+9%
-10%
Ayr United

ELO progression

Hibernian FC
Ayr United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hibernian FC
Hibernian FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 1959
ARB
Arbroath
2 - 3
Hibernian FC
HIB
26%
23%
51%
76 56 20 0
28 Nov. 1959
HIB
Hibernian FC
3 - 1
Stirling Albion
STI
76%
14%
11%
75 61 14 +1
21 Nov. 1959
HIB
Hibernian FC
4 - 2
Dundee
DUN
57%
21%
23%
75 78 3 0
14 Nov. 1959
RAI
Raith Rovers
4 - 2
Hibernian FC
HIB
53%
21%
26%
75 76 1 0
07 Nov. 1959
STM
St. Mirren
2 - 3
Hibernian FC
HIB
53%
20%
26%
75 73 2 0

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 1959
AYR
Ayr United
4 - 1
Partick Thistle
PAR
51%
21%
27%
67 73 6 0
28 Nov. 1959
STM
St. Mirren
4 - 3
Ayr United
AYR
62%
18%
20%
67 72 5 0
21 Nov. 1959
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
59%
20%
21%
67 77 10 0
14 Nov. 1959
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 1
Stirling Albion
STI
74%
15%
11%
68 61 7 -1
07 Nov. 1959
CEL
Celtic
2 - 3
Ayr United
AYR
75%
14%
10%
67 83 16 +1