Heybridge Swifts vs Felixstowe & Walton Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
43.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
9º
7º
74
1º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 78 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
74 | 78 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
73 | 77 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
72 | 76 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
62 | 65 |
6º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
60 | 63 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
57 | 60 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 53 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 53 |
11º
|
3% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
12º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
48 | 51 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
13º
|
47 | 50 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 48 |
15º
|
52.5% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
16º
|
69% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 36 |
17º
|
66.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 30 |
18º
|
89% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
19º
|
97.5% | |
|
19º
|
6 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 97% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LOW
6 - 0
HEY
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HEY
1 - 1
WAL
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
HEY
2 - 1
GOR
78%
13%
8%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 1
HEY
40%
24%
37%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HEY
6 - 1
BUR
68%
18%
15%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Felixstowe & Walton Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FEL
5 - 1
ENF
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 3
FEL
15%
18%
67%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
FEL
4 - 0
RED
43%
24%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
FEL
21%
23%
56%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
FEL
5 - 3
BRI
66%
19%
16%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |