Hevesi vs RAFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hevesi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
PUT
6 - 2
HVS
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
HVS
3 - 1
FER
24%
23%
53%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +4 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
MAG
4 - 1
HVS
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
HVS
0 - 0
EGE
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
GYO
1 - 0
HVS
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
RAFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
RAF
1 - 1
BAL
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
TUR
6 - 0
RAF
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
RAF
1 - 0
DVS
66%
20%
14%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
JAS
1 - 0
RAF
71%
18%
11%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
RAF
1 - 2
BAL
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |