Heven vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
66.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
HEV
1 - 2
ERH
19%
21%
59%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
RBE
4 - 2
HEV
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
HEV
2 - 7
ROD
11%
18%
70%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ENN
2 - 0
HEV
50%
22%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
HEV
2 - 4
ABI
13%
18%
68%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ERK
1 - 2
RBE
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ROD
2 - 2
ERK
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ERK
3 - 0
ENN
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ABI
0 - 0
ERK
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ERK
2 - 0
WER
54%
23%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |