Heusden-Zolder vs Lutlommel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heusden-Zolder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
ZWA
4 - 2
HEU
60%
22%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
HEU
1 - 2
DEK
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
WIT
0 - 1
HEU
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
HEU
1 - 3
BRE
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
EXV
3 - 1
HEU
57%
22%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lutlommel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
LUT
2 - 0
LEO
16%
22%
62%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
OVE
3 - 1
LUT
66%
20%
14%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LUT
1 - 4
PAT
18%
21%
61%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
SPO
2 - 1
LUT
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ZWA
3 - 0
LUT
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |