Hervas A vs Cabezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
17.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hervas A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
PIO
1 - 2
HER
56%
19%
25%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
HER
5 - 2
CDA
51%
20%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ADV
3 - 0
HER
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
HER
1 - 2
MAL
47%
21%
32%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CPC
2 - 1
HER
17%
18%
65%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cabezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAB
3 - 0
ALC
31%
22%
47%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAB
2 - 1
PIO
18%
19%
63%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CDA
5 - 1
CAB
52%
21%
27%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAB
0 - 0
ADV
35%
22%
43%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAL
6 - 0
CAB
70%
16%
14%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |