Bundesliga Round 27

Hertha BSC vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis

Hertha BSC Ingolstadt 04
86 ELO 79
-18.9% Tilt 4.6%
243º General ELO ranking 838º
25º Country ELO ranking 44º
ELO win probability
59.1%
Hertha BSC
24.9%
Draw
16%
Ingolstadt 04

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
Hertha BSC
1.59
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
16%
Win probability
Ingolstadt 04
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hertha BSC
-3%
-7%
Ingolstadt 04

ELO progression

Hertha BSC
Ingolstadt 04
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hertha BSC
Hertha BSC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2016
HER
Hertha BSC
2 - 0
Schalke 04
S04
37%
27%
35%
87 86 1 0
06 Mar. 2016
HSV
Hamburger SV
2 - 0
Hertha BSC
HER
25%
26%
49%
87 82 5 0
02 Mar. 2016
HER
Hertha BSC
2 - 0
Eintracht Frankfurt
EIN
47%
26%
27%
87 83 4 0
26 Feb. 2016
KOL
Köln
0 - 1
Hertha BSC
HER
25%
26%
50%
87 82 5 0
20 Feb. 2016
HER
Hertha BSC
1 - 1
Wolfsburg
WOL
29%
26%
45%
87 88 1 0

Matches

Ingolstadt 04
Ingolstadt 04
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2016
ING
Ingolstadt 04
3 - 3
Stuttgart
STU
31%
25%
44%
79 82 3 0
05 Mar. 2016
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 1
Ingolstadt 04
ING
61%
22%
16%
80 82 2 -1
01 Mar. 2016
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 1
Köln
KOL
42%
27%
32%
80 82 2 0
27 Feb. 2016
HSV
Hamburger SV
1 - 1
Ingolstadt 04
ING
53%
26%
21%
80 82 2 0
20 Feb. 2016
ING
Ingolstadt 04
2 - 0
Werder Bremen
BRE
25%
23%
52%
79 84 5 +1