Hertha BSC vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
EBT
1 - 1
HER
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
BOC
0 - 2
HER
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
HER
3 - 0
MUN
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
MSV
2 - 2
HER
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
SGD
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
ING
2 - 0
VFR
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
MSV
0 - 2
ING
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ING
1 - 1
KAI
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BOC
1 - 1
ING
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
ING
0 - 2
MUN
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |