Hertha BSC vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
61.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BVB
2 - 0
HER
73%
17%
11%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
HER
2 - 1
AUG
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
WOL
2 - 0
HER
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
HER
0 - 3
RBL
12%
18%
70%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
STU
1 - 1
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
LEV
1 - 2
ARB
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
MON
0 - 1
LEV
33%
24%
43%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LEV
1 - 2
SCF
62%
20%
18%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
LEV
0 - 2
YOB
58%
21%
21%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
AUG
1 - 1
LEV
14%
19%
68%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |